The persistent blocked pattern that has given us the unseasonably warm-to-hot and bone-dry weather for so many weeks will attempt to break down with the approach of a cold front.   But the blocking will be strong enough to slow down the frontal boundary on Sunday.

For Saturday, the dry weather continues here with plenty of sunshine and continued unseasonably warm temperatures in the mid 80s.

The approaching front will bring cloudiness as early as Saturday evening.

Sunday will be cloudy with an increasing chance of showers by afternoon and some rain likely Sunday evening into Monday morning.  High near 80 on Sunday.

The NAM model has considerably more rain than the GFS for us Sunday through Monday morning.  These drought conditions are difficult to break down, since soil moisture levels contribute to rain production.  Dry begets dry.

But, let’s hope we get the currently predicted 1/2  inch plus of rain predicted by the GFS.

Saturday evening update:  The NAM has most of the rain Sunday evening into Monday.  The GFS has some showers as early as Sunday mI’d to afternoon.