An amplification in the jet stream will drop a cold front through our area late on Saturday.
Saturday starts with bright skies and possibly some sun very early, but clouds quickly move in by mid morning. By noon, it will be cloudy. Both the NAM and GFS currently hold off the rain until 2-4PM (although some light spits possible before then.) High temperatures about 54. Moderate rain by evening and through the night.
Some showers still possible very early Sunday morning, then skies attempt to clear. However, cold air aloft with the upper cyclonic flow will result in considerable broken stratocumulus cloudiness for much of Sunday. It will be very windy and gusty on Sunday. High 55 before the cold air moves in at the surface Sunday night.
(For Thanksgiving, the outlook is for below average temperatures – highs in the upper 40s. Looks mostly dry at this time, however, the statistical models are hinting at some light showers.)
I hope to be posting my Winter Outlook by the first week in December.
The current dip,in the jet stream has given us a taste of arctic air in early November.
Saturday will have sunny skies with continued cold temperatures. High will be 40.
Winds shift Sunday morning with some moisture giving us some cloudiness early, then sunny skies with highs near 49.
A weak cold front moved through Friday afternoon and a northerly flow of more seasonable (cooler) air moves in Friday evening under weak high pressure.
Saturday starts sunny and and seasonably cool, however, mid-level clouds move in during the early to mid afternoon as the high drifts off and the frontal boundary slowly moves back as a warm front. High 62.
There will be the chance of light showers Saturday night with the approaching warm front and the showers may last into Sunday morning.
Sunday will be cloudy for much of the day, with the chance of light showers or sprinkles, especially in the morning and possibly early afternoon. High will be 67.
Depending upon the movement of the warm front, we may have some breaks in the overcast late afternoon, however, the warm front is not expected to move past us until Sunday evening, so that’s an optimistic read right now.
Monday will be very warm with temperatures back into the 70s before another cold front moves through with showers later Monday afternoon.
A southerly flow around high pressure will maintain mostly sunny conditions for early Saturday with a high temperature near 70, However, some middle level clouds begin moving in during the afternoon as low pressure and a frontal system approaches from the west. It will be cloudy by late afternoon.
This system is expected to entrain some moisture from a tropical system in the Gulf resulting in heavy rain during the afternoon and evening on Sunday. It will windy. High temperature near 65 on Sunday.
There are differences between the NAM and GFS models regarding the timing of the heavier rain, with the NAM having the heaviest rain in the evening