WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST

Sat 8:40 AM —Forecast Review — The models (and the forecasts) had trouble with this storm. There was much more sleet and freezing rain than snow over our region than the day-before forecasts had suggested. While the models did correct themselves over the day Friday, several morning model runs were still predicting inches of snow.

Regarding forecasts, I was surprised to see so much sun this morning; it was supposed to be cloudy. The RRFS and the HRRR are still predicting low clouds for most of today. We’ll see.

Originally Posted Fri 8:05 PM — Following the exit of the sleet, freezing rain, and some snow, low level clouds will be with us for much of Saturday. An upper level ridge will bring potentially milder temperatures very late Sunday into Monday and an approaching cold front will bring rain Sunday night into Monday.

18z AI-GFS forecast for Sunday. Upper level ridge with briefly warmer temperatures by late Sunday evening into Monday before a cold front moves through Monday, bringing back frigid temperatures. (Click on image for a larger view.)

Saturday Forecast

Mostly cloudy for most of the day. Continued cold. Clearing towards sunset. Somewhat windy.

NBM high temperatures: Blue Bell, PA 34º Philadelphia, PA 36º
Low uncertainty (based on standard deviation):± 1.3º

Sunday Forecast

Considerable cloudiness with some sunny breaks possible. Increasingly cloudy late afternoon. A few sprinkles in the evening. Rain at night.

NBM high temperatures: Blue Bell, PA 39º Philadelphia, PA 41º
Average Uncertainty (based on standard deviation): ± 1.8º