Model Blend low temperature forecast for Friday night (before daybreak Saturday) —
Despite the complexity of the weather scenario regarding the remnants of Hurricane Zeta moving through our area, the models continue to show similarity in timing, and have the usual range of rainfall amounts. In general, the models show the heaviest rain from Philadelphia south into Maryland and Delaware.
This will primarily be heavy rain event for us, although some gusty winds (> 30 mph) are expected late Thursday evening into early Friday morning.
Here’s the range of expected total rainfall, with amounts in the 2-3.5″ (European) ECMWF, 2.0-2.6″ (Canadian GEM), German ICON 2.0- 2.5″.
The GFS and GEFS show 2.5-3.0″ of rain.
For some reason, the Model Blend (NBM) is in the lower range of 1.25″.
Rain starts after midnight Wednesday and continues through Thursday. Some lingering showers possible on Friday.
Temperatures near or below freezing are expected Friday night.